Has PTI's "narrative" won? PTI won latest elections

 

Has PTI's "narrative" won?

پنجاب نے اپنا ووٹ اور اعتماد پاکستان تحریک انصاف کو دیا ہے۔ (فوٹو: فائل)

The results of the by-elections are surprising. Punjab has completely rejected the narrative of PML-N. Punjab has given its vote and trust to Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf. Before the election, I thought that PML-N would get 9 to 12 seats while the remaining seats would be divided between PTI and independent candidates. But the results have given 75% seats to Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf. Why did this happen? How did everyone's analysis, including me, prove to be one hundred and eighty degrees wrong? What were the reasons that brought the buried politics of PTI out of the shroud and stood in the square?

First of all, whatever analysis remained, its basis was different, it had news from personal sources, it also had analysis from seniors and it also had its own observation. PTI's own sources were saying that we will get 10 to 12 seats and I was telling them that you will get 6 to 8 seats. These 20 out of 20 seats actually belonged to PTI, its defected members had supported Hamza Shahbaz in the Punjab Assembly by expressing no confidence in Usman Buzdar and Imran Khan and after that as per the orders of the court. These were de-seated and then by-elections were held here as per the rules.These were his weak constituencies for PML-N and if they have secured 4 to 5 seats from here too, it is a place to think for PTI and it is also a place for PML-N to think. PTI should have got back all its seats and PML-N should have taken 10-12 of them too. Now we talk about PTI's surprising victory and PML-N's worst defeat.

The first reason was that Imran Khan did not wait after being removed from the Prime Ministership and filed his case directly in public. The same thing was done by Nawaz Sharif in July 2017. At that time, the government was of PML-N but the government here was not of PTI. Imran Khan wrapped his entire performance in a letter and gave it to the people and the people accepted it. Imran Khan launched an excellent series of rallies.

In these meetings, the same narrative was peddled time and again that Imran Khan's government has been abolished after "he" became neutral and this has not gone well with the country. Imran Khan used many names of "him" and continued to challenge him in rallies and this narrative gained popularity. Sometimes they called them animals, sometimes they called them neutral, sometimes they called them Mir Jafar and Mir Sadiq, and sometimes they called them Mr. X and Y, but in every meeting they made the people believe that with whom I was actually fighting and Then he skillfully made his fight a people's fight.

People accepted the impression that if Imran Khan was wrong, he would not have come back to us, he would also have left London, but since he is in us and is not running a party abroad, it is not wrong. The people of Punjab are probably against 'him' and that was the reason when Nawaz Sharif addressed 'him' by name in Gujranwala rallies, he fueled the PDM movement. Muslim League-N was also winning the by-elections through Tehreek-e-Insaf. The famous election of Daska will be remembered when the election lost in the fog was won by the opposition. So the first major factor that contributed to PTI's victory was PTI's entry into the field against 'them'. The recent battle against "them" was originally fought by the PML-N, Jamiat Ulema-i-Islam and the People's Party, later made a deal and came to power. PDM could not sell its time narrative like PTI has sold.

After that, PTI also sold anti-America slogans. People also bought it out of hand. Who is more anti-American than Jamaat-e-Islami? It did not even get 10,000 votes in this by-election and PTI has 75% seats. Believe it or not but political management and marketing of PTI is the best and most impressive of all other parties. Whatever narrative she creates, it gains popularity. The trend that PTI sets, everyone follows.

After that, the second culprit was the storm of inflation and the incredible and smart hike in petrol prices. Petrol prices are related to more than 400 sectors. When the prices of petrol increased, they increased in a very brutal and outrageous manner. Miftah Ismail used to announce the increase in petrol prices with a smile and the people were hostile to this brutality. After that, loadshedding made life impossible. If you put the figures aside for now and think from the public's point of view, load shedding is happening and whoever is in power is responsible for it. These anti-people measures also gave a good dent to the Muslim League-N. When Imran Khan's government ended, the people had hopes that the PML-G would show the same performance as it has been showing in the past, but when the opposite happened, then the people completely rejected it.

The third major reason was the defecting members, who were given tickets by the PML-N. Rural politics is completely different from urban politics. Caste communities are important there. Tickets to defecting members have also played an important role in the defeat. There is also a question that whether the value of the PML-N ticket in the next elections will be the same as it was till yesterday. Or will its demand decrease after these results? I think that the golden ticket of the PML-N has now turned into a normal ticket and may not have the same value as it once did.

We can say that if general elections are announced today, the biggest loss will be to Muslim League-N. I fear that as Dante has applied his politics in these by-elections, he may carry it over to the general election as well. This government has no magic lamp to bring the dollar to Rs 120 and petrol to Rs 100. It has no magic lamp that can instantly zero load shedding. These factors are now around his neck and if the general elections are held, they will also become his neck bone. For this reason, I hope that the present government will try to somehow keep the government at the centre till October, because after that general elections are not possible due to snowfall in the upper parts of Pakistan.

PML-N's acceptance of the results of the by-elections is a reflection of the fact that they are also aware of which factor has harmed them where. Maryam Nawaz's tweet last night was appropriate and proportionate. Pakistan's politics, however, will remain in a state of uncertainty now. As far as Punjab is concerned, the final push from both sides will be to keep the Chief Minister as their own. This is a battle for PML-N and it is very difficult for it to win. The by-elections have changed the balance of power in the Punjab Assembly. Hamza Shehbaz Even if 8 to 10 members of Tehreek-e-Insaf submit their resignations, the numbers game is not so easy now. If Punjab leaves the hands of PML-N, then what right do they have to rule at the centre? Then the PDM should take back the Prime Ministership and three to four important ministries and hand them over to the People's Party, because the People's Party will rule in Sindh.

This uncertainty will now make the dollar more uncontrollable and it simply means that if the oil prices in the world market go up even a little bit, the government will have to increase here too, and the hundred onions and hundred shoes that were in childhood. In the example we read, its practical image will become this government.

Apparently, the politics of PML-N has suffered a lot and in such a situation, the general elections can also prove to be a coffin for them. Now maybe only the return of Mian Nawaz Sharif can save his politics but what will he do when he comes back and the government is his own and anyway the return of Mian Nawaz Sharif is only possible if he wants to return himself. However, here is an important question, what is Mian Nawaz Sharif thinking? Situations and facts are also in front of them. Now, what is the board position on the political chess set in front of him and what will be Mian Sahib's next move based on that? Someone ask Mr. Zardari and tell me.


Post a Comment

0 Comments