Has Tehreek-e-Insaf's boat gone overboard?

 

Currently, the political storm is brewing in the country and it is intensifying with every passing breath. If we look through the windows of the past, Tehreek-e-Insaf started the politics of sit-ins after the victory of Muslim League-Nawaz at the federal level in 2013 general elections.

The attitude adopted by Tehreek-e-Insaf towards the opposition parties, after the success of Tehreek-e-Insaf in the 2018 elections, the opposition parties are adopting the same attitude towards Tehreek-e-Insaf. The unrelenting trend of protest politics that started in 2013 is still going on. The game of cat and mouse continues between Tehreek-e-Insaf and opposition parties.

It is a fact that the wave of inflation that started during the PTI regime is not slowing down. Even during Imran Khan's regime, people were worried about inflation and still the daily high flight of the dollar, the rising prices of petroleum products have left people half-hearted. PTI leaders themselves have admitted that PTI's popularity graph was falling due to inflation. On the other hand, the opposition parties were trying hard to topple the Imran Khan government. Meanwhile, former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif kept suggesting to the party leadership and PDM many times that there is no need to topple the government, this government will die by itself.

But the anti-government parties have completed the no-confidence motion against Imran Khan. Chairman Tehreek-e-Insaf Imran Khan fought till the last ball but could not save his government. The opposition parties believed that the people would not support the narrative of Tehreek-e-Insaf due to the inflation during the government of Imran Khan, but the rally held in Islamabad before the motion of no-confidence began to show that Imran Khan was among the people. Acceptance did not decrease and when Imran Khan revealed the alleged letter received from America in the same rally, the anti-American narrative worked and people accepted Imran Khan's narrative, after which there were protests across the country. The popularity of Imran Khan has not decreased in any way in the rallies.

Before the success of the no-confidence motion against Imran Khan, till May 25 Islamabad march, it was believed that the establishment had taken the hand of Shafqat from Tehreek-e-Insaaf. Although Imran Khan's anti-government rallies were not unsuccessful, they were causing problems for the government. Taking away the Punjab government from Tehreek-e-Insaf was not an easy task. The game played by PDM to form the government was showing that all this could not happen without blessings. That is why Chairman Tehreek-e-Insaf was repeatedly demanding that neutrals should intervene and not support PDM. In this whole game, the support of the establishment on Tehreek-e-Insaf was also removed and an attempt was made to wash the label of selected on Tehreek-e-Insaaf to some extent. At the same stage, the big mistake was made by the PDM parties when the Tehreek-e-Insaf government was dismissed as a failure due to rising inflation.

Who benefited in all this game until the removal of the Tehreek-e-Insaf government and Pervaiz Elahi becoming the Chief Minister of Punjab? And who took the loss? This is a big question. Apparently, Tehreek-e-Insaf has suffered a great loss from the departure of the federal government, but the facts are contrary to this. Before the success of Tehreek-e-Insaf, the popularity of Tehreek-e-Insaf among the people was not the same as before, but leaving the government proved to be a good omen for Imran Khan. Under the agreement made with the IMF, it was necessary to take other measures including increasing the prices of petroleum products, electricity and this work was to be very harmful for Tehreek-e-Insaf. Therefore, the change of government was awaited and in this regard also the benefit came to Tehreek-e-Insaf. The by-election of the provincial assembly in Punjab was also a test case because through these elections, the mood of the people has been seen in the context of the upcoming general elections, from which it seems that the sympathies of the people are with Tehreek-e-Insaf.

According to the information that is being received now, pressure is being put on the federal government for the upcoming general elections, that elections are the only solution for the political instability in the country, that's why we should go for the general elections now. While the parties included in PDM are also starting to realise that Tehreek-e-Insaaf has been given popularity again by using us. PDM parties have lost in this whole game. Even 15 parties could not defeat Tehreek-e-Insaaf in the elections in Punjab, after that even a common person has understood that what will be the results of the next general elections?

According to the scenario regarding the upcoming general elections, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf will be able to get two-thirds majority, while from Sindh, Tehreek-e-Insaf will also be able to get more seats than before.

According to the familiar situation, the presidential system that was being discussed in the country before the motion of no confidence was not possible due to Tehreek-e-Insaaf not getting two-thirds majority. That is why efforts are being made to hold the general elections by the end of this year, because if the Senate elections are to be held in March next year, Tehreek-e-Insaf will get a majority in the Senate as well and legislation will be easier for the presidential system. The way will be paved for the presidential system in the country.

The political situation that arose or was created in the country was exactly according to the script and under the same script, the next prime minister of the country can be Imran Khan once again and the first president of the presidential system can also be the captain. But for that we have to wait more.